This is a National Pension Scheme Fund Screener to shortlist consistently performing NPS schemes. You can also identify NPS schemes that offer a higher return than the benchmark while maintaining lower risk. This is similar in design to the freefincal Equity Mutual Fund Performance Screener.
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The benchmarks used are given below.
Benchmarks Used
| Category | Benchmark (index) |
| Alternative Assets | CRISIL Composite Index, CRISIL HYBRID 85:15 |
| Atal Pension Yojana | CRISIL Composite Index, CRISIL HYBRID 85:15 |
| Corporate bond | CRISIL Composite Index, CRISIL HYBRID 85:15 |
| Equity | N200TRI, N50TRI |
| Gilt | IBEX (I-Sec Sovereign Bond Index) |
| Government | CRISIL HYBRID 85:15, IBEX (I-Sec Sovereign Bond Index) |
| Hybrid max 10% -25% equity | CRISIL Composite Index, CRISIL HYBRID 85:15 |
Note: The benchmarks used for non-equity schemes are only notional. They may not be good representatives of the asset class. User discretion is advised.
Use this screener file to quickly identify the best-performing NPS schemes that consistently outperform category benchmarks/indices with adequate downside protection (improved performance when the index is down) and upside performance (improved performance when the index is up).
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Note: Contrary to popular belief, NPS schemes are not index funds! They have a benchmark and are expected to beat it.
What does this NPS Performance Screener cover?
It gives you three outputs:
- Rolling return outperformance consistency: the NPS scheme/fund returns are compared with category benchmark returns over every possible 1Y, 2Y, 3Y, 4Y, and 5Y period. The higher the consistency of outperformance, the better. Suppose 876 fund returns were compared with 876 benchmark returns, and the fund has beaten the benchmark 675 times. The consistency score will be 675/876 ~ 77%.
- Upside performance consistency over every possible 1Y, 2Y, 3Y, 4Y, and 5Y: The higher, the better. A score of 70% means that 7 out of 10 times, the NPS fund outperformed the category benchmark when the benchmark increased. This is a measure of reward.
- Downside performance consistency over every possible 1Y, 2Y, 3Y, 4Y, and 5Y: The higher, the better. A score of 60% means the NPS fund outperformed the category benchmark 6 out of 10 times when the benchmark was declining. This is a measure of risk protection.
If you open the screener file, you see column headings like this.
You have the scheme category, benchmark, NPS scheme name, number of 1Y returns of the benchmark(index), number of 1Y returns of the fund, number of times the fund’s 1Y return is above the index’s 1Y return, the 1Y rolling return consistency, upside performance consistency and downside protection consistency. These columns are repeated for 2Y, 3Y, 4Y, and 5Y.
You can screen by filtering out funds with return-outperformance consistency of >=60%, downside-protection consistency of >=60%, and so on. This is only an example. You can apply your screening criteria.
Screen for NPS schemes with higher than benchmark returns and lower risk
Here, you can screen for funds with an excess return greater than 0 in the last 1, 2, 3, 4, or 5-year trailing periods. This means the fund’s return exceeds the index return. You can also add filters for excess risk < 0 for the same periods. This means the fund’s risk is lower than the index’s risk. Hence, the excess risk is negative.
Take, for example, ICICI PRUDENTIAL PENSION FUND SCHEME E – TIER I
- Trailing Benchmark Return 1Y: 22.704%
- Trailing Fund Return 1Y: 35.089%
- Excess return 1Y: 12.385% (positive excess return is good!)
- Index standard deviation (NAV volatility) 1Y: 3.732%
- Scheme standard deviation 1Y: 3.592%
- Excess risk of the scheme: -0.140% (negative excess risk is good!)
Therefore, over the last year, the NPS scheme has significantly outperformed the index, with lower NAV volatility (this is an example only and does not reflect current data).
The idea here is to find funds that have beaten the index in terms of higher returns (excess return >0) and lower risk (excess risk <0) in the last 1,2,3,4,5 year period. You can reduce it to 3-, 4-, or 5-year periods if you wish.
This is a screenshot of the data.
Reward measure: Rolling returns outperformance consistency.
Rolling returns are a simple estimate of how consistently a fund has outperformed a benchmark.
Take the ICICI PRUDENTIAL PENSION FUND SCHEME E – TIER II as an example. There are 476 five-year rolling returns when compared with the Nifty 200 TRI. Of these, the fund outperformed the benchmark 220 times. So the Rolling returns outperformance consistency = 220/476 = 46.2%. Naturally, the higher the rolling return outperformance consistency, the better.
Reward and Risk Measure: Upside Performance & Downside Capture
Upside performance consistency over every possible 1Y,2Y,3Y,4Y, 5Y: Higher the better. A score of 70% means that 7 out of 10 times, the Fund outperformed the category benchmark when the benchmark increased. This is a measure of reward. It is computed from rolling-upside capture data.
Downside performance consistency over every possible 1Y, 2Y, 3Y,4Y, and 5Y. The higher, the better. A score of 60% means the Fund outperformed the category benchmark 6 out of 10 times when the benchmark was declining. This is a measure of risk protection. It is computed from rolling downside capture data.
If you wish to understand how these are calculated, please read this: Introduction to Downside and Upside Capture Ratios and proceed to this one, for example. For some funds, high downside capture consistency will lead to better returns; for others, high upside capture consistency will lead to better returns. The screener can help distinguish between the two types of performers. Recommend reading: What is mutual fund downside protection, and why is it important?
How to use the NPS Performance Screener
There are multiple ways to screen for mutual funds. I will discuss two examples.
Then, method A: Set the 3Y and 5Y rolling return-outperformance consistency to be above 60% or 70%, or so. That should give you a nice shortlist to choose from. Then you can visually identify funds with the right level of downside protection and select one. Method B: Identify funds with 60%-70% downside-protection consistency over 3Y and 5Y, and choose one. Remember, never set narrow filters and do not be too demanding. Choosing the fund with the best past performance is plain immaturity. Your screening criteria should yield 5-6 funds at all times. Why should I use this screener? Why can’t I view trailing returns and the screen? Trailing returns are 3Y or 5Y returns calculated using the last business day (3Y or 5Y prior). This is just one data point to consider. Here, we find a lot more to determine consistency.
Excess Risk vs Excess Return Screener: The idea here is to find funds that have beaten the index in terms of higher returns (excess return >0) and lower risk (excess risk <0) in the last 1,2,3,4,5 year period. You can relax it to 3, 4, or 5-year periods if you wish.
Important Information
- This screener costs Rs. 150 and is meant for personal use only.
- Inside, you get a discounted link to our robo advisory tool and two courses: How to get people to pay for your skills (aka earn from skills) and the lectures on goal-based portfolio management.
- The cost only applies to the data in the sheet.
- You will get an Excel file with the data. You can enable data filters and screen it as you like. You can upload this file to any spreadsheet software.
- While freefincal will do its best to publish updated screener sheets each month, it cannot guarantee that it will do so.
- The file contains no buy or sell recommendations and only has the abovementioned data.
- Enough care and effort have been put into weeding out errors. However, we cannot guarantee that the sheet is error-free.
- The buyer will have to research using the information in the spreadsheet. No recommendations or assistance are included in the sheet and will not be provided separately.
- We will not provide any further assistance with using the sheet.
- The sheet purchased is for personal use only and should not be shared, either privately or publicly. A purchase implies that you agree to the terms in the Important Information section.
Click here to pay Rs. 150 and download (instantly) the latest Freefincal NPS Fund Screener.
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