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Category: Stock Market

This is the archive of all articles and analysis related to the nature of stock market risk and reward

Stock-analysis: Should you sell ITC and book losses?

November 18, 2020 / M. Pattabiraman / @pattufreefincal

The stock price of ITC has frustrated investors for the last few years. This can be concerning even for best of the breed long term investors who invested in the company looking at the fundamentals of the company, cash flows, monopoly business, strong brand recall, professional management or even the dividend yield etc. Does it…

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Nifty is close to all-time high but here is why you should not stop investing

November 7, 2020 / M. Pattabiraman / @pattufreefincal

On Nov 6th Nifty closed at 12263 within striking distance of its Jan 14th 2020 close of 12362, something that no would have believed a few months ago when on March 23rd we saw the biggest intraday fall and the  10-year Nifty SIP Return fell to 2.3% and14-year SIP Return to 5%. In spite of…

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Sensex return is 16% plus over last 41 years but half of that came from just three good years!

October 30, 2020 / M. Pattabiraman / @pattufreefincal

It is well known that stock market returns are clumped: it will rain returns in a big way followed by years of frustration. In this article, we investigate the annual and monthly returns of the Sensex from April 1979 and show the annualized return after 41 years depend on just a few good years/months. All…

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Nifty PE at all-time high: Will the market crash?

October 25, 2020 / M. Pattabiraman / @pattufreefincal

On 14th Oct 2020, the Nifty P/E ratio or PE ratio was 34.87. This was an all-time high from 1st Jan 1999. This means the Nifty 50 was priced at 34.87 times its earnings. The latest PE ratio at the time of publication is 34.37 (23rd Oct 2020). Investors are worried if this high PE is…

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Should I stop buying dividend stocks since dividends are now taxable?

September 4, 2020 / M. Pattabiraman / @pattufreefincal

As per Finance Bill FY 2020-2021, a person who receives dividend income from stocks and mutual funds must add it to total income and pay tax as per slab. Does this mean investors should stop buying dividend stocks since a portion of it would be lost to tax?

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Did You Know 10 year SIP return of Merval Index is 36%

August 27, 2020 / M. Pattabiraman / @pattufreefincal

The S&P MERVAL index has registered some astounding returns. Its 10-year SIP return is 36.68% (yes, that is annualized!) a 15-year SIP return of 30.25% and a 5-year SIP return of 30.06%. If you have wondered why the Indian and US stock markets have been moving up in spite of the pandemic, these returns from…

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Is this market rally bad for equity mutual funds (active/passive)?

July 16, 2020 / M. Pattabiraman / @pattufreefincal

Readers may recall that the Nifty/Sensex moved up since Feb 2018 (until the crash this year) while the rest of the market moved down. We had reported that this market imbalance/inhomogeneity lead to an all-time high return difference between Nifty 50 vs Nifty 50 Equal-weight indices in Dec 2019 and also pointed out that Market crash…

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Five stocks replaced in Nifty Next 50 from June 26th

July 8, 2020 / M. Pattabiraman / @pattufreefincal

The NSE has made several changes to its indices in its late-June portfolio reset. Notable are fives changes in Nifty Next 50, twelve from Nifty Midcap 100 and twenty-five from Nifty 500. Here is a selected listing.

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Has the market recovered already? Did it even crash?

May 18, 2020 / M. Pattabiraman / @pattufreefincal / 3 Comments

If we look at the fall in Nifty from its early Feb 2020 levels it certainly feels like a crash. After all, we witnessed the biggest intraday fall that sent the 10-year Nifty SIP Return to 2.3%; 14-year SIP Return to 5% and we also saw the biggest intraday gain after 10Y and then a…

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Sensex gains 19% in April but worst is yet to come?

May 4, 2020 / M. Pattabiraman / @pattufreefincal / 4 Comments

A 19% monthly return from the stock market without any background or context would seem something to cheer about. However with India at least weeks away from flattening the curve, the worst for stock investors is yet to come.

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Want to trade in stocks? Here is how your income will be taxed

April 28, 2020 / M. Pattabiraman / @pattufreefincal / 5 Comments

Many taxpayers trade in stock and commodity markets, both in intra-day as well as Futures & Options (F&O). In this article, we will discuss the various taxation related aspects of such trading including head under which the income is to be reflected, audit requirements, the applicability of Section 44AD etc.

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Gold beats Sensex over last 20 years! Time to invest in gold?

April 17, 2020 / M. Pattabiraman / @pattufreefincal / 4 Comments

We compare long term lump sum and SIP returns of Stocks vs Gold vs Bonds to find that 20-year Sensex Returns are now lower than Gold (perhaps for the first time)

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Sensex records biggest intraday gain after 10Y but crisis is far from over

April 7, 2020 / M. Pattabiraman / @pattufreefincal / 1 Comment

The Sensex moved up the most today (7th April) after almost 11 years. However, this does not mean the crisis is over! An analysis.

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Market crash destroys two-year imbalance among Index stocks

March 30, 2020 / M. Pattabiraman / @pattufreefincal / 1 Comment

How a two-year-long inhomogeneity among market segments was blown away in five weeks when stocks crashed!

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Facing Market Carnage 2020: The Way Forward a ebook by Venkatesh Jayaraman

March 28, 2020 / M. Pattabiraman / @pattufreefincal / 4 Comments

In his fourth ebook, Venkatesh Jayaraman offers many insights and suggestions on how investors can tackle the stock market crash

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