This is the archive of all articles and analysis related to the nature of stock market risk and reward
Two readers recently asked us similar questions. One asked, “Is it possible for the Indian stock market to again go through 10 years of poor returns?” The reference is to the ten years of a sideways market after the Harshad Mehta scandal broke. For details, see: (a) Sensex at 50,000 & lessons from the 42-year journey (b) Sensex…
Continue reading →This article analyses the historical Nifty 50 portfolio over the last ten years (Oct 2012 to Sep 2022). This data is not available or free on the NSE website, so we use the portfolio history of Nifty BeES ETF as a proxy. Eighty-four entities have been part o the Nifty 50 over the last ten…
Continue reading →It is common knowledge that the Japanese stock market (often represented by the Nikkei 225) has been underwater since December 1989. That is, it kept falling (excluding minor recoveries) for about 23 years until later 2012. Since then it has seen a recovery. Many investors have asked us, “can this happen to the Indian stock…
Continue reading →In this article, we look at how 200 indices representing the stock market, bond market and other asset classes performed in 2021. This is measured with 361 days absolute return from 1st Jan 2021 to 28th Dec 2021. Note: The following information should not be used for making investment decisions. Past performance is not an…
Continue reading →Neeraj asks, “Dear Pattu Sir, are we in the middle of the biggest bull run in the history of the Indian stock market? If we look at the market momentum since March 2020, it seems to be the sharpest increase ever seen. Can you please let me know if I am right?” When I first…
Continue reading →Sunder asks, “We all know that equity returns in the last financial year or last annual year were excellent. Does this mean we should mentally prepare ourselves for poor or even negative returns this year?” The 97% returns mentioned in the title refer to the NIfty 50 TRI movement from 23rd March 2020 to 23rd…
Continue reading →In this article, we compare the returns of the Sensex Total Returns Index with the S&P 500 Total Returns Index in INR since the inception date of the Sensex, 1st April 1979. The analysis stems from a comment on our YouTube channel that said the S&P 500 would have easily beat the Sensex over the…
Continue reading →If you are actively following the financial news nowadays, you might have read that ‘US Bond Yields Rising’ and that this is causing the volatility that we see currently in the Indian Stock Market. This article will try to understand what US Bond Yields are, why they are rising, and how exactly it affects the…
Continue reading →HDFC Bank has been a favourite investment for a lot of investors in the Indian equities – be it Retail Investors, Fund Managers, FIIs, or DIIs. And, with good reason too. HDFC Bank has outperformed almost every bank in India in terms of stock price performance. An analysis. About the author: Arjun Budhraja is an…
Continue reading →Imagine this scenario: the stock market falls by about 50% – not suddenly over a few days but over months and months, say over three years. Since there is no sudden fall, there is no sudden recovery either. The market stays underwater (below the previous all-time high) for the next five years. Can you manage…
Continue reading →The Sensex closed for the first time above 50,000 on 3rd Feb 2021. We look at its 42-year journey for lessons on reward and risk. The BSE provides closing price (excluding dividends) from 3rd April 1979 when the Sensex was 124.15. We shall use this data for analysis. Dividends will have to be added to…
Continue reading →In this stock analysis episode, we consider Dr Lal PathLabs Limited, an international diagnostic and healthcare test service provider. Its IPO opened in Dec 2015. In Oct 2020, the company was in the news for the wrong reasons: a data breach About the author: Ashish Tekwani has done his Masters in Finance from NMIMS, Mumbai….
Continue reading →If a stock has defied the COVID-19 and its impact on stock markets, it has to be Adani Green Energy Ltd. The stock of the company Adani Green Energy Ltd [AGEL] has given phenomenal returns ever since it became listed on the stock exchanges. In this stock analysis, we consider if Adani Green can be…
Continue reading →Sanjay asks “I want to take up stock trading to generate extra income. How should I get started?” We asked Amit Aroa a full-time stock trader to answer this question; what Sanjay should be aware of and some resources he can follow to get started. Readers may also refer to the Day Trading Lessons of…
Continue reading →Manojkumar is a college student with interest in day trading. He aspires to be financially independent one day. In this account, he shares his lessons from two years of tracking the charts. Investors tend to take a disrespectful holier-than-thou approach towards traders without often realising they are essential for market stability. Yes, trading is not…
Continue reading →The company which is popular among the railway travellers [Customers] for offering the convenience of online Railway ticketing facility is fancy of investors too ever since it came out with an IPO, and investors lapped up the IPO with 112 times oversubscription; just the way tatkal bookings happen at its popular website, i.e. www.irctc.co.in About…
Continue reading →One sector and market that has always attracted the attention of both investors and customers is the Telecom market, and rightly so the market has gone from a transformation in the past 2 decades in terms of technology, customer reach, telecom service providers, services and whatnot. The question that investors often ask is whether there…
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