As pointed out yesterday, many investors get nervous when the market hits all-time highs on a daily basis and start asking "should I book profits now and re-enter later?". Sadly, they only talk about the exit mark and have no idea when they would re-enter. It amounts to a random thought often influenced by what … Continue reading Should I book profit when the market is at an all-time high?
In the 6th part on the series on tactical asset allocation techniques based on market timing, we evaluate the Motilal Oswal Value Index (MOVI) over five-year vs ten-year periods. The MOVI index data is available at the Motilal Oswal website used a combination of Nifty price to earnings ratio (PE), price to book value (PB) and dividend yield … Continue reading Market Timing with the Motilal Oswal Value Index (MOVI)
One thing is clear from this series on market timing. There is a lot of inertia when it comes to selling equity and moving to debt in the name of timing. Many seem to prefer "buying on dips". That is whenever they "feel" there is a "buying opportunity". So for the 4th part in this … Continue reading Buying on market dips: How effective is it?
In the third part on the series on tactical asset allocation techniques based on market timing, we evaluate the Market PE and Ten-month moving average methods over five-year vs ten-year periods and also change the equity allocation in the portfolio from 30% to 50% to 70%. In addition, we also use the method followed by Franklin … Continue reading Tactical Asset Allocation Backtest Part 3: Short-Term Vs Long-Term
As mentioned last week, I am starting a new series on tactical asset allocation techniques based on market timing. In this first part, we looked at the index PE (price to earnings ratio) as a buy/sell signal. In the second part, we consider the ten-month moving average (10 MMA) of the Index price. There are still … Continue reading Market Timing With Ten Month Moving Average: Tactical Asset Allocation Backtest Part 2