Worried about a 2% single day fall in indices?

Published: March 11, 2015 at 10:16 am

Last Updated on

On Monday last, most Indian stock indices ‘crashed’ by about 2%. Immediately the media  wrote columns as to why this occurred.  The next day there were hand-holding articles as to why one should not be scared of such market movements. A case of, ‘pinch the baby and rock the cradle’.

Here is a series of Nifty graphs in this regard.

A single-day fall of 7% or more

nifty-fall2

We have had a 12% fall and ~ 8% fall in the middle of a bull run (Jan 2004) and another ~8% fall in late 1998.

So, the next time there is such a single day fall, can we assume the market has crashed and that we are heading towards a bear market?

A single-day fall of 5% or more

nifty-fall-1

Should be cut our losses and exit when there is a 5% or higher fall?

A single-day fall of 2% or more

nifty-fall3

A single-day fall of 2-3%

nifty-fall4

Does this put Mondays ‘crash’ (rightmost red dot) in perspective?

If it does, keep calm and MDBSC* on

If it does not, if you feel compelled to fret over the reasons for the fall, if you need hand-holding and reassurances that ‘we are still in a bull market’ and that ‘all will be will’, get out of equity today and stick to fixed-income products.

‘Wealth creation’ is not for the faint hearted.

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