1st time investors will never buy MFs if they knew about risks vote netizens!

78% of respondents in a survey felt first-time investors will never buy mutual funds if they realised how risky they are! This is the harsh reality of mutual fund selling and buying

image of a torn while wall paper revealing black representing the reality 1st time investors will never buy MFs if they knew about risks vote netizens!

Published: April 5, 2020 at 10:05 am

Last Updated on

Members of Facebook group Asan Ideas of Wealth were asked, “If the average first-time investor realised just how much risky the stock market is, and there is actually no guarantee of long term “success”, would they invest in equity mutual funds?” Their response reflects the ground-reality of the mutual fund producer, distributor and consumer in India.

This poll was conducted on Nov 18th 2019 a good three months before the stock market crashed! If it were conducted today, it would not be hard to guess how different the results would be!

Three hundred and sixty-one members participated in the poll: 284 (78.7%) voted the typical newbie investor will never buy mutual funds if they knew about the risks! At a time when the Indian market has not seen a big crash for more than ten years, it is probably the most realistic window into how mutual funds are sold and purchased (at least initially).

The simple truth is, no new investor would buy equity mutual funds if they actually appreciated that there are no guarantees of high returns and beating inflation. That long-term investing has not always worked.

No guarantees that the “India growth story” means all those who stayed invested and kept their SIPs running in the name of “discipline” would get rewarded. Most equity investing is done based on past performance (selectively choosing to see or sell high returns).

The even harsher truth is people appreciate that “mutual funds do not come with any guarantees and that past performance is not indicative of future performance” only when their portfolios are red, that is during a stock market crash.

No product can get sold without “embellishment”. This is what AMCs and their distribution partners – the bank RMs, the online portals (regular or direct), the demat providers, the individual distributors – do 24X7.

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They need investors to “believe” if they do not redeem, do not stop SIPs, and hold onto their MF units and sit through this storm or the next, everything will turn out okay. Their logic is amusingly simplistic” the stock market will eventually move up.  That it will, but when it wants to, not when we want it to.

Look at the lessons available for learning in under a month

It is time to wake up and smell the coffee: no newbie will buy mutual funds (equity or debt) unless a guarantee of better/bigger return is promised to them (not on paper but no one reads those anyway); a guarantee that bad times will not affect long-term returns is constantly sung to a chorus.

Distributors and AMC guys fear how investors would react to a crash, fear they would lose profits. So they become feel-good philosophers peddling “this too shall pass” Gyan.

No, I am not suggesting we avoid mutual funds. I am suggesting we invest in them (if suitable for our needs) in spite of these product manufacturers and sales guys; Ignoring them; appreciating risk well before it hits us hard; with a proper plan to reduce portfolio risk.

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6 Comments

  1. Most people are shocked to see their savings dwindle in a moment. Maybe they will feel that they would have been better off with fixed deposits. Midway is probably to invest half in debt and half in equity sharing the ups and downs of the nation so to say.

  2. I don’t agree with herd mentality. The vote only reveals herd mentality. Doesn’t mean it’s right.

    If you learn fundamental analysis and buy stocks, MFs related to fundamentally strong companies now, you will definitely make a fortune.

    So many companies are available at cheap prices that only a fool would be unable to detect opportunity in this crisis.

    Most folks do not understand how to manage risk. Hence they outvote and give you incorrect results..

  3. Hi sir I’m a regular follower of your blog. I have some lumpsum amount in my bank account. This is my emergency fund. Before the RBI rate cut policy the debt market was also going down due to which I didn’t invest. What is your suggestion should I wait in the current corona virus scenario before investing in debt?

  4. AMCs if they make their Expence Ratio Zero when the Market is down by more than 10 percent then the investors morale will be up.

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